As it was unthinkable to foresee that the option did not win
the plebiscite as evidently happened, basically there is no plan b as would a
government official. In other words, plain and simply there is no possibility
of backtracking on the agreement, in political terms, four years of
negotiations were repealed with the vote on October 2, and as everyone the
million dollar question is ... and what will happen now?
It is clear, and that
constantly remind members of the FARC, they will never accept a prison and any
kind of subjugation. It is also clear, and that constantly remind leaders of
Uribe, who in their demands to approach the peace process is the fact that you
must modify some points of the agreements, including a submission to the
ordinary courts, that is, prison is required for members of the FARC
secretariat. And finally, it is clear that the national government cannot do
anything about it to amend agreements because, as they say engaged couples to
discuss and agree something needs two partners, that the FARC would be those
They decide, ultimately, to amend the agreements, and that, for now, will never
happen.
Under this scenario
dialectical logic (and political logic) is as follows: The national government,
led by President Santos, what he is doing, it is to give long a dead process,
ie, will be dedicated to serving the opposition then go out and tell the public
that the alternatives, etc., etc., knowing full well that nothing can be done,
it will be a kind of slow death will be evaluated. The FARC know they have
little time for the deadline, although the defense minister calm tempers saying
it could be extended within the bilateral cease.
Noting the delegates of the
FARC that there is nothing to do, that any attempt to talks mean losing time
because, unlike the situation that was before the final signing, in this case,
since everything is agreed. Then be removed from the table in Havana a few days
of October finalized. Santos may grant an extension of the ceasefire, but wear
four years of talks and disappointment of the plebiscite will only motivate the
FARC intern in their camps and then decide to resume the dynamics of war.
In the same way that the
political movement Democratic Centre has always sought to accuse guilty of
anything to any organization or person, this, head of former President Uribe,
who has had a history of accused terrorists to anyone who contradicts them. In
the same way, the FARC will seek blame for the political catastrophe they
suffered, that is, hate, and this time with more strength, that entire
democratic center is called, this movement will be designated as war aim, and
the first in the list it is of course the president Uribe.
At some point Santos warned of
the possibility that the war would move to the cities, and this is possible
because the FARC have committed two separate terrorist acts in cities like
Cali, Medellin and Bogota. Now, the difficulty of an armed confrontation on the
streets of major cities is an unlikely option, unless they decide to take
control of some peripheral territories.